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Global2 hours ago

SOFTER U.S. INFLATION CUTS FED HIKE ODDS

August core PCE fell to 3.0% YoY vs. 3.3% expected, while headline PCE came in at 3.4% vs. 3.7% forecast. Q2 GDP was revised higher to 2.2% from 1.5%. Kalshi now prices a 65% chance of no October Fed hike, versus 31% for a 25bp increase.

AI Take

Long

미국 물가 둔화로 연준의 금리 인상 가능성이 낮아지면 위험자산에 긍정적으로 작용할 수 있습니다. 다만 2분기 GDP 성장률 상향은 경기 강세를 시사합니다.

#PCE#연준#물가
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Sources (2)

  • TelegramWalter Bloomberg21:37
  • TelegramMarket Feed21:37

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